Summary of swing state poll results, Democrat vs. Trump
I have built a spreadsheet summarizing the recent poll results in head to head polls of a Democratic candidate and President Trump. These are the only polls that matter. Do not look at or cite national polls. Results and pollster quality ratings come via 538.
I have added some subjective content. Because of my handicap estimates I have highlighted results where the candidate has a 5 point advantage over Trump, and thus a win becomes more probable. If they are even or worse I score a loss as highly risky and use a red number.