Brad Ideas

Robocars & More

Coming up July 27 at 10am EDT join me and CMU professor and Darpa Grand Challenge winner Raj Rajkumar in a debate about the prospects for self-driving cars on the current technological roadmap in the next 10 years. I will argue for success and significant growth to many cities, Raj will argue that this won't happen without new approaches, if at all. Dan Levy from Barclays will moderate.

Right after Ford switched to NACS, GM has joined the party. With the top 3 US EV makers on NACS and CCS left with the foreign makers (and Stellantis which just started doing EVs) CCS is dead. Except for $7B in government subsidies. They ruined the CCS charging network, but maybe if they think about it, we can find a way to get this money to doing things the superior way Tesla did it without subsidies.

Votes were nearly unanimous to reign in autonomous vehicle companies in their birthplace.

Read more at Forbes.com in California Bill Bans Self-Driving Trucks. San Francisco Supervisors Block Waymo. Does Luddism Reign?

It's surprisingly common to see articles and videos from Tesla fans who believe that Tesla FSD is a contender -- even the leader -- in self-driving development. The reality is it's still not even in the race compared to other players. In this video, I pretend to be a super Tesla FSD fan and I give the reasons they commonly give for feeling that Tesla rules the roost, but in a way that makes the flaws in those arguments more apparent.

Ford Motor company has announced that starting next year, Fords will get access to Tesla's supercharger network via an adapter, and later, new Fords will be made with the Tesla NACS built in.

New rules greatly increase the time until solar panels pay for their cost, making it more important to store the power in batteries or cars, and even sell to neighbors.

Waymo now serves a large contiguous area in Phoenix, and is doing 10,000 rides/week. But it's not a car replacement yet, which it needs to be.

Read more at Forbes.com in Waymo Hits 2 Million No-Driver Miles And Expands Phoenix Robotaxi Zone. Can It Replace Your Car?

Robotaxis are sometimes not acting well when meeting fire trucks and other emergency vehicles. Here's a look at some incidents, what could be done better, and how to manage it. Includes exclusive Waymo's-eye view of police interaction

Read more at Forbes.com in What Should Happen When A Robocar Meets An Emergency Vehicle, To Avoid A Paradox Of Safety?

Tesla's crash data seem amazing, but the reality is very different and many have been misled by the numbers. In actuality, there's no strong case that Teslas are much safer with Autopilot on

Read more at Forbes.com in Tesla Again Paints A Very Misleading Story With Their Crash Data

Many companies are looking to make self-driving trucks. Einride feels they are the best path to electric trucks, and that's the best way to reduce emissions.

Read more at Forbes.com in Einride s Self-Driving Goal Is Medium-Haul Electric Trucks, Not Long Haul. Here s Why.

Chinese companies have been expanding their operation of robotaxis with no employee aboard Baidu Apollo (sometimes called the Google of China) has expanded in Whuhan, Chongqing and Beijing and AutoX has expanded to Shanghai.

Read more at Forbes.com in Baidu, AutoX Expand Uncrewed Robotaxi Operations In China - Will The World Catch Up?

Here is my 4K video from a SpaceX Falcon-9 night launch with landing back at the pad at Vandenberg.

San Francisco Muni decided to study problems caused by robotaxis, possibly hoping to gather data to oppose them. Instead, their data shows they are doing amazingly well and should end the debate.

Read more at Forbes.com in Transit Study Reveals Robotaxis Causing Surprisingly Little Disruption On Streets

Cruise CEO Kyle Vogt has released an explanation of the cause, or proximate cause, of their crash last week with a San Francisco Muni bus.

Read more at Forbes.com in GM s Cruise Robotaxi vs Bus Crash Caused By Confusion Over Articulated Bus; They Say It s Fixed

Austin, TX, April 1 2023 - Tesla announced today that it's new low-cost car, known as the Model 2, will not come standard with a steering wheel or pedals. That's not because it will only work with Tesla's "Full Self Driving" system, but rather because they have been made virtual, through AI and the interior camera used for driver monitoring.

The mandatory report reveals the bus was slowing to a stop and wasn't doing anything odd when the Cruise hit it. This really shouldn't happen

Read more at Forbes.com in Cruise DMV Crash Report Suggests Their Car At Fault In Hitting Bus

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A Cruise Robotaxi, apparently with nobody aboard, has rear ended a San Francisco Muni bus on March 23. Nobody was injured and damage to the bus was modest, but more severe to the front bumper of the Cruise. Another Cruise blew through caution tape and hit downed Muni trolley power lines. It does not look good.

Read more at Forbes.com in Cruise Cars Crash Into San Francisco Muni Bus And Tangle In Fallen Trolley Wires

Today, Waymo released an extension of their previous safety frameworks where they promote what they call a "Case Credibility Assessment" — a way of examining whether any safety case is strong and should be believed. It's a complex situation, but the larger question is just who these safety cases are for, and how they will interpret them. In particular, what will regulators do?

Read more at Forbes.com in Waymo Makes A New Safety Case And Challenges All To Also Do So - But Is It Right?