brad's blog
Two part series on why you don't have a robocar yet
Submitted by brad on Mon, 2022-09-26 08:10I've made a 2 part series, text and video on what the key blocking factors are in the way of getting robocars into production. You can watch on YouTube. Or read the text version at why don't you have a robocar yet
Could AI art generators involve copyright violation?
Submitted by brad on Mon, 2022-09-19 11:29
Oh, the cases you'll know!
Cruise ‘Recalls’ Robotaxis After Crash, But The Recall Is The Wrong Mechanism
Submitted by brad on Wed, 2022-09-14 12:16In June, Cruise had the first crash for an uncrewed robotaxi which caused injuries to 3rd parties, including a passenger and a person in the other vehicle. The Cruise vehicle was partly at fault.
In this article I outline the new details we have learned about the crash, but also discuss what it means for the future, and whether the use of a NHTSA "Recall" for this particular software update is the right idea.
Cruise expands to Phoenix and Austin
Submitted by brad on Mon, 2022-09-12 14:17Cruise announced today it would expand robotaxi operations to Phoenix and Austin and was able to do so very easily. They plan to have $1B in revenue by 2025 and even sell cars to consumers by then.
More details at Cruise expands to Phoenix and Austin
EVs won't overload the power grid, in fact they (and ice) can save it.
Submitted by brad on Mon, 2022-09-12 11:47With California mandating all new cars be EVs by 2035, and other places doing the same, EV-skeptics argue the power grid can't handle this. This claim appeared again during the recent California heat wave that came close to overloading the California grid over a false report that the state asked EV drivers not to charge their cars. (In reality it just repeated the everyday policy to avoid charging from 4pm to 9pm on high usage days.)
Maybe the USA should get a king?
Submitted by brad on Sat, 2022-09-10 14:13The USA threw off its king almost 250 years ago, and hereditary monarchy is of course a silly idea, and the remnant of an evil idea.
Yet the King that the UK, Canada and various other countries have is not without value. But there can be much more value that what you may be thinking of, namely saving the actual head of government from ceremonial work.
Tesla raises FSD price to $15K. Could it mean they might buy a way out?
Submitted by brad on Wed, 2022-08-31 12:08Tesla announced the price for the FSD software add-on will rise to $15K (from $12K) Sept 5. The price is amazingly high for a prepaid pre-order of a product that doesn't exist yet. Yet people only pay $4K for it in the aftermarket, and the take rate keeps going down as they raise the price, negating revenue gains.
So what does it all mean? One unusual option is that at $15K/head, Tesla could fail at producing the FSD software, but buy another company that does succeed (using LIDAR probably) and retrofit the old cars at a profit. At this price it's hard for them to lose.
Will Transit Agencies Fight Or Yield To The Self-Driving Revolution?
Submitted by brad on Tue, 2022-08-30 14:46Some transit agencies want to be in charge of how self-driving cars are deployed in their cities. Otherwise, they say, robocars will compete with transit, as if that would be bad.
Read more about these issues at Will Transit Agencies Fight Or Yield To The Self-Driving Revolution?
The design of the Nimbus mini-EV and why it's different from other cars
Submitted by brad on Sat, 2022-08-27 18:10
The Argument Over Whether Tesla FSD Will Run Over A Child Or Dummy Child Misses The Point
Submitted by brad on Thu, 2022-08-25 15:10There has been lots of buzz over a video made by Tesla Critic Dan O'Dowd of a Tesla allegedly in FSD mode hitting a dummy in the shape of a child. We've seen Tesla fans duplicate it with their own kids, and Tesla asking the original video be taken down, and NHTSA saying not to use your own kids and more.
But it all misses the point. Of course a prototype fails in ways like this. The question is, are people actually getting hurt, and how do we really test these things to get them working? Is it OK to have customers participate in testing?
Baidu starts paid robotaxi service in China
Submitted by brad on Sun, 2022-08-07 21:42Baidu has finally moved to having a paid robotaxi service with no employee in the car. While they have remote monitoring and even driving over 5G this is still a big step and a show of internal confidence in the vehicle.
Read more at Baidu starts paid robotaxi service in China
Are Software-Limited Features Like BMW Heated Seats Or Tesla Limited Batteries Good For The Customer?
Submitted by brad on Fri, 2022-07-29 14:23Two recent stories -- about BMW charging a monthly fee to use the heated seats pre-installed in your car, and Tesla replacing a 60kwh battery with a 90kwh under warranty, but forgetting to software limit it to 60kwh, then finally applying the limit after two resales of the car as an (unknowingly accidental) 90 model, have opened up cans of worms about the question of software enabled and disabled features, and whether they are good or bad for the customer or just good for the company.
Custom Robotaxi from Baidu
Submitted by brad on Wed, 2022-07-20 21:06Baidu Apollo has released their own custom robotaxi plan. This one looks more like a regular minivan/custom taxi, but its steering wheel, there only for compliance purposes, is designed to be removed when the law allows, and that opens up the interior. They also say they can make it for about $37,000.
For more details see my Forbes.com story at Custom Robotaxi from Baidu
Timeline of lost luggage at Heathrow
Submitted by brad on Tue, 2022-07-12 10:33For my story of this summer's airport chaos, I describe a nightmare at Heathrow with luggage lost by Lufthansa. The main story on Forbes.com is about what airlines could be doing better when overloaded, but this sudebar will outline a timeline of all the things going wrong.
Cruise Robotaxis are failing in groups in SF
Submitted by brad on Fri, 2022-07-08 14:21Several instances have taken place where multiple Cruise robotaxis have all frozen as a group, sometimes blocking intersections.
I discuss reasons for that, and why it's not that big a deal, in this new article on the Forbes site.
All you need for a great EV road trip
Submitted by brad on Tue, 2022-06-28 08:41I have written a guide of useful hints and tricks for doing an EV road trip and barely spending any time charging. I've done over 10,000 miles of EV road trips and you can to, once you get an EV.
Read this at Forbes.com:
All you need for a great EV road trip
I have two other articles on Forbes.com that I didn't publish here in the blog:
Intentional communities in European towns in decline
Submitted by brad on Wed, 2022-06-08 10:00You may have seen news coverage of various towns (mostly in Italy) that are selling houses for one Euro. There are even web sites to search for them.
This happens because many small towns face migration of their population to big cities. As population drops, houses get abandoned. These can become a blight on the city, possibly worsening its decline. To stop this, the cities seize the houses and give them away -- with some big catches.
Towing a trailer with an F150 Lightning cuts range in half, but that's not the only change
Submitted by brad on Wed, 2022-06-01 08:45Now that we can get good EVs, people are moving to SUVs and trucks, as they did with gasoline. It's better than gasoline of course, and cheaper, but there is a hidden cost in needing all that extra energy, beyond extra cost.
Read about that at Towing a trailer with an F150 Lightning cuts range in half, but that's not the only change
Breaking Banks/Futurist Podcast on Keens and Stewards, Exploiting brain bugs and more
Submitted by brad on Sat, 2022-05-28 10:46I recently did an episode of the Breaking Banks/Futurist Podcast. We go over many topics, and I hope you will like it all, but in particular I delve into two topics I have yet to complete my writings on. The first is my model of the great tribal war between the Keens (future-loving, more secular, liberal) and the Stewards (Past defending, less secular) which the Keens will win but are being dicks about.



